Bitcoin Adds 2% As Traders Push Clarity Act Odds To 20%
The Polymarket contract pays out only if the House and Senate both pass H.R.3633 and Trump signs it by December 31.
- Polymarket's H.R.3633 market, 'signed into law in 2026,' now prices a 20% chance of passage.
- Bitcoin climbed roughly 2% to near $78,900 the same day, September 14, 2026.
- $16.8 million has traded on the contract, which resolves against Congress.gov by December 31.
Why it matters: A one-in-five chance of a law is already moving the price of the asset it would regulate.
Polymarket, 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?' market ↗ · Sep 14, 20269/14/26